Latest News
Polymarket Tightens Rules on Insider Trading
Polymarket tightened market integrity rules to curb insider trading and manipulation as prediction markets grow, facing more scrutiny and regulation.
Polymarket V2 Goes Live on April 22
Polymarket launches V2 on April 22, replacing core contracts and collateral with pUSD, wiping open orders, and requiring users to migrate.
Polymarket Resolves Israel Hezbollah Ceasefire
Polymarket resolved three Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire markets to Yes on April 16, settling $5.3M+ in bets and signaling lower near-term Middle East risk.
Polymarket No Bot Keeps Winning
A Polymarket bot keeps profiting by buying "No" on overhyped event contracts, exploiting retail excitement, fuzzy resolutions, and low base-rate outcomes.
Crypto News Summary April 8
Crypto News Summary April 8: Bitcoin topped $71K as ceasefire hopes improved risk sentiment, Polymarket confirmed the shift, and shorts were squeezed.
Polymarket Resolves US Iran Ceasefire Bet Yes
Polymarket resolved its US-Iran ceasefire bet YES on April 8, ending a key risk proxy after $787K in volume and reinforcing crypto's de-escalation rally.
Crypto News Summary April 7
Crypto news summary for April 7: Bitcoin neared $70K, XRP gained on policy hopes, DeFi governance turned messy, and prediction markets tracked macro stress.
Polymarket Tightens Market Integrity Rules
Polymarket tightened market integrity rules across DeFi and its CFTC-regulated exchange, restricting insider trading and manipulation.
Polymarket Gives Trump Iran Deadline 3% Odds
Polymarket traders give just 3% odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by today, signaling low hopes for Trump's deadline and adding macro pressure on Bitcoin.
Polymarket Iran Ceasefire Odds Hit 82%
Polymarket's odds of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire by May 15 surged to 82% on April 6, signaling traders now expect de-escalation.
Polymarket Iran Invasion Odds Surge on Trump Threat
Polymarket odds of U.S. forces entering Iran jumped to 63% after Trump threatened strikes if Tehran moved to block the Strait of Hormuz.
Polymarket Pulls Death Market After Backlash
Polymarket removed a market on a missing U.S. service member after backlash, highlighting ethical limits and failures in prediction market safeguards.
Polymarket Iran Bets Surge Before Trump Deadline
Polymarket war-bet volumes topped $3.7M before Trump's April 6 Iran deadline, with traders piling into strike and retaliation markets across 16 countries.
Bitcoin ATH Bet Resolves No on Polymarket
Polymarket resolved its $3.9M Bitcoin ATH-by-March 31 market to No after BTC failed to set a new record, ending a closely watched Q1 bullish bet.
Polymarket Favors Bitcoin Drop Below $45K
Polymarket bettors now see a 52% chance Bitcoin falls below $45K in 2026, while odds of a $100K rally this year remain far lower.
Crude Oil Hits $100, Polymarket Resolves
Polymarket's $16.6M crude oil market resolved YES on March 31 after oil hit $100, cementing a major macro call with clear spillover into crypto sentiment.
Senate Bill Seeks CFTC Sports Bet Ban
Bipartisan Senate bill would ban CFTC platforms from listing sports-event contracts and casino-style bets, targeting Kalshi and Polymarket.
Ethereum Slide Odds Rise on Prediction Markets
Prediction markets now put high-50% odds on Ethereum losing its No. 2 market-cap rank, signaling rising bearish sentiment as ETH underperforms rivals.
Polymarket Trader Wins $67K on UFC Mix Up
A Polymarket trader turned $676 into $67,608 after a mistaken UFC winner announcement crashed Tyrell Fortune shares to 1 cent before rebounding.
US Lawmakers Target Sports Betting Markets
US lawmakers plan a bipartisan bill to ban sports betting on prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, tightening a fast-growing gray area.