Latest News
Fox Partners With Kalshi on Prediction Data
Fox Corp. will add Kalshi's sponsored prediction-market "crowd odds" across its news platforms, pushing event contracts further into mainstream media.
Kalshi Wins Third Circuit Prediction Market Case
Kalshi won a major Third Circuit case, with judges ruling New Jersey cannot restrict its CFTC-regulated prediction market contracts.
Polymarket Favors Bitcoin Drop Below $45K
Polymarket bettors now see a 52% chance Bitcoin falls below $45K in 2026, while odds of a $100K rally this year remain far lower.
Senate Bill Seeks CFTC Sports Bet Ban
Bipartisan Senate bill would ban CFTC platforms from listing sports-event contracts and casino-style bets, targeting Kalshi and Polymarket.
US Lawmakers Target Sports Betting Markets
US lawmakers plan a bipartisan bill to ban sports betting on prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, tightening a fast-growing gray area.
Kalshi Faces Washington Gambling Suit
Washington sued Kalshi Friday, alleging its event contracts are illegal online gambling and raising fresh doubts about nationwide expansion.
SBF Pardon Odds Drop After Parents Interview
SBF's pardon odds fell to 9%-11% on prediction markets after his parents' CNN interview, as traders saw reputational damage, not political momentum.
Polymarket, Kalshi Tighten Insider Trading Bans
Polymarket and Kalshi are tightening insider-trading rules, expanding MNPI and conflict bans and adding trade controls to head off regulators and scandals.
Kalshi Blocked in Nevada After Judge Orders Temporary Ban
Nevada judge granted a 14-day TRO temporarily blocking Kalshi's prediction markets, backing regulators who say its event contracts are unlicensed gambling.
Arizona Attorney General slaps Kalshi with 20 criminal counts as states tighten prediction-market crackdown
Arizona AG Kris Mayes hit CFTC-regulated Kalshi with 20 criminal counts for unlicensed gambling and election wagers as states tighten nationwide crackdowns.
Utah moves to ban prediction markets, teeing up a showdown with the CFTC, Kalshi and Polymarket
Utah's HB243 hit the governor's desk last Wednesday to ban prediction markets, sparking a state-federal showdown with the U.S. CFTC, Kalshi and Polymarket.
Ohio Judge Rules Against Kalshi, Labeling Prediction Markets as Sports Betting
Ohio federal judge denies Kalshi bid, ruling its sports event prediction contracts are sports betting and must comply with Ohio gambling laws, not CFTC shield.
Kalshi and Polymarket reportedly chase $20B valuations as prediction markets surge: WSJ
WSJ says Kalshi and Polymarket are courting funding at ~$20B valuations as prediction markets boom, though regulation and leverage risks loom for investors.
Kalshi Sued for Allegedly Withholding $54M Payout on Iran Leader Death Prediction Market
Traders sue Kalshi, claiming it withheld $54M by refusing to settle an Iran leader death prediction market as 'yes' despite reports it occurred by the deadline.
Kalshi Insider Trading Probe Leads Beast Industries to Fire MrBeast Video Editor
Kalshi opened an insider-trading probe into a MrBeast-linked editor's prediction-market bets, fined and suspended the account; Beast Industries fired him.
Nevada Court Setback Puts Kalshi and Polymarket on Brink of Trading Halt
Nevada court setback boosts regulators' power, putting Kalshi and Polymarket at risk of a trading halt or geofence, raising fears of copycat crackdowns.
Kalshi Fines and Suspends MrBeast Employee Over Alleged Insider Trading on YouTube Video Bets
Kalshi fined and suspended a MrBeast employee for allegedly using nonpublic production info to bet on YouTube video outcome markets in creator-content bets.
Kalshi Clears Suspicious-Activity Backlog, Pledges Public Insider-Trading Enforcement Disclosures
Kalshi says it cleared a backlog of suspicious-activity reviews and will now publish insider-trading enforcement actions to boost transparency for market trust.
Fed Study Finds Kalshi Prediction Markets More Accurate Than Wall Street Surveys for Economic Forecasts
Fed research says Kalshi macro prediction markets beat Wall Street economist surveys, offering faster, cleaner signals as crypto prices react ahead of data.