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The CLARITY Act is moving again, but Galaxy's message is basically: don't pop the champagne, this is just the first boss fight.

A tentative "agreement in principle" between the White House and key senators has reopened the path for the long-stalled U.S. crypto market structure package. The immediate logjam was stablecoin rewards, a flashpoint that put banks and crypto platforms on opposite sides of the table. Galaxy Research says that compromise matters, but it does not close the biggest regulatory gaps that can still sink the bill on timing, scope, and enforcement. [1]

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The deal that revived CLARITY: stablecoin rewards

The CLARITY Act had been stuck in the Senate Banking Committee since January, largely over whether exchanges and other crypto firms should be allowed to offer yield-like rewards tied to stablecoins. [2]

Traditional financial groups argued those incentives could pull cash out of bank deposits at scale, effectively turning stablecoin rails into a parallel deposit product without bank-style supervision. Crypto firms countered that rewards are closer to platform competition and market pricing than "shadow banking," and that banning them would kneecap consumer adoption and onchain liquidity.
That standoff eased on Friday, March 20, when Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) and Sen. Angela Alsobrooks (D-Md.) said they had reached a tentative understanding with White House officials to resolve the issue. Patrick Witt, a top White House crypto policy adviser, called the bipartisan effort a "major milestone" toward passing CLARITY. [3]

The key point for markets: the compromise removed the current veto point that was preventing the bill from moving at all.

Galaxy's Thorn: the bill can still die on the next hill

Alex Thorn, Galaxy Digital's head of firmwide research, cautioned that the stablecoin rewards dispute may have simply been "the current hill the bill is dying on," not the last one. [4]

Thorn's warning is procedural and substantive at the same time:

  • Procedural risk: even with a handshake deal, legislation still has to survive committee work, amendments, floor time, and reconciliation between factions that want very different outcomes. The calendar becomes an enemy fast once a bill turns into a magnet for competing carve-outs.
  • Substantive risk: resolving one high-profile issue exposes the next set of fights, especially where the bill draws lines around DeFi, intermediaries, and who has primary authority over what.

Galaxy's posture here is not anti-CLARITY. It is an argument that the remaining gaps are large enough that "progress" should not be mistaken for "done."

The unresolved questions that matter most (and why they are hard)

The source reporting points to "other highly contentious topics," and Galaxy's broader commentary around CLARITY has repeatedly focused on the parts of market structure bills where definitions become regulation. Three buckets tend to decide whether a crypto bill is workable or just headline-friendly. [5]

1) DeFi and the "who is the intermediary" problem

Any attempt to regulate decentralized finance runs into the same trap: lawmakers want a responsible party, but the tech is designed to minimize one.
If CLARITY tightens obligations on "front ends," builders, or liquidity venues, it risks sweeping up open-source developers and noncustodial interfaces. If it exempts too much, critics will argue the bill creates an off-ramp from compliance, encouraging activity to migrate from regulated entities to code-based systems. Galaxy's research has framed this as a core tension: DeFi provisions can quietly become surveillance or enforcement mandates depending on how "control" and "facilitation" are defined.

2) Overlapping regulators and the edges of jurisdiction

CLARITY's purpose is to reduce the current U.S. mess where the same asset can look like a commodity on Monday and a security on Tuesday, depending on which agency is speaking.

But the hardest part is not the slogan, it is the perimeter: which tokens, which transaction types, and which entities land under which rulebook. If definitions remain squishy, firms still cannot build compliance programs with confidence, and enforcement risk stays priced into U.S. liquidity.

Galaxy's "regulatory gaps" framing is essentially this: a bill can pass and still leave enough ambiguity that it does not change on-the-ground behavior, because lawyers will advise teams to keep acting as if the old uncertainty remains.

3) Stablecoin policy does not end at "rewards"

Even if the rewards compromise holds, stablecoins still force policymakers to answer deeper questions: who supervises issuers, what reserves qualify, and what happens during stress. Banks worry about deposit substitution; crypto firms worry about being regulated like banks without access to bank privileges. That push and pull does not disappear just because incentives got papered over.

So while "stablecoin rewards" was the public fight, the broader stablecoin framework is where durable rules, and durable lobbying, usually live.

Why the "ticking clock" is real

Thorn's timing warning is worth taking literally. Crypto bills tend to accumulate amendments because everyone sees them as "must-pass" eventually, which turns each markup into a bargaining session for unrelated priorities. The longer that goes on, the higher the odds the coalition fractures.

That matters for industry planning. If CLARITY looks likely but not imminent, U.S. platforms may keep routing innovation offshore, and institutions may keep limiting exposure to the most conservative structures (ETPs, custodians, and tightly permissioned venues) rather than expanding into broader token markets.

What to watch next

Watch the Senate Banking Committee process, not the X victory laps. If the stablecoin rewards language holds through committee and the bill emerges with clear DeFi and intermediary definitions, expect U.S. venues to lean back into onshore product launches and liquidity. If the bill gets rewritten into mushy definitions or heavy compliance hooks that spook developers and front ends, expect the same old outcome: "clarity" in name, regulatory risk in practice, and more activity drifting to friendlier jurisdictions.