Polymarket

A Polymarket prediction market has resolved 'Yes' on whether the Israel-Iran ceasefire would hold through July 30, confirming the truce remained in place through that date. The resolution comes as geopolitical tensions have weighed on crypto sentiment in recent weeks, and a de-escalation could help restore risk appetite in digital asset markets.

A Polymarket prediction market on the Israel-Iran ceasefire resolved 'Yes' on August 1, confirming that the ceasefire held through July 29. The resolution, with $648.4K in trading volume, suggests reduced geopolitical risk that has been cited as a headwind for crypto markets in recent weeks.

Polymarket WTI crude oil prediction markets all resolved against high and low price targets for July 2026, with over $12M in combined volume. The outcomes suggest oil remained in a relatively stable $75-95 band despite geopolitical tensions.

Polymarket prediction markets show bettors increasingly confident in Israel-Iran ceasefire continuation through early August, with probability estimates rising to 66-76% and trading volume spiking on these outcomes. The July 28 ceasefire continuation market resolved affirmatively with nearly $400K in volume.

A high-volume Polymarket betting market on the Israel-Iran ceasefire resolved as Yes, confirming that bettors assessed the ceasefire held through July 27. The $538.7K trading volume reflects significant geopolitical interest and provides context for recent crypto market volatility.

A $1.1 million Polymarket prediction market on whether the Israel-Iran ceasefire would continue through July 26 has resolved to YES, reflecting bettor confidence in continued regional stability.

Polymarket's Israel-Iran ceasefire prediction markets saw significant trading activity, with one market resolving 'Yes' ($772.7K volume) confirming the ceasefire held through July 24. Follow-up markets on ceasefire continuation through August experienced volume spikes, reflecting trader interest in geopolitical outcomes.

Polymarket prediction markets are seeing intense betting activity on which company will hold the largest market cap by July 31, with NVIDIA leading at $1.9M in trading volume. The proliferation of these markets reflects investor uncertainty about tech and energy sector valuations in late July.

Polymarket International's TVL declined 29.6% in a single day to $336.9M, potentially driven by market resolutions or capital reallocation. The 7-day decline is more modest, suggesting the drop may be temporary rather than indicative of broader user exodus.

A Polymarket betting pool on whether Satoshi Nakamoto will move any Bitcoin$62,936.00 in 2026 has attracted $4.5 million in volume, reflecting persistent retail speculation about the Bitcoin$62,936.00 creator's dormant holdings.

Polymarket has launched a series of prediction markets betting on which major tech company will become the world's largest by market cap on December 31, 2026. Markets for Microsoft, NVIDIA, Amazon, Saudi Aramco, Apple, Alphabet, Tesla, and SpaceX have collectively attracted over $4.7 million in trading volume, reflecting broader expansion of the platform beyond crypto-native predictions.

A high-volume Polymarket prediction market resolved affirmatively today, confirming that Bitcoin$62,936.00 reached $65,000 at some point during July 2026. The market drew $931.9K in trading volume, reflecting significant betting interest in Bitcoin$62,936.00's monthly price targets.

Polymarket bettors have shifted to pricing a 77% probability that Bitcoin$62,936.00 will dip to $62,500 before the end of July, up 26 points today. The sentiment shift reflects growing trader caution amid broader market fragmentation signals, though the prediction market remains thinly traded.

Polymarket bettors have increased their estimated probability of Iran announcing withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15 to 52%, up 18 percentage points. The shift suggests new developments in negotiations, though the specific catalyst is not immediately clear from market data alone.

Polymarket International's total value locked dropped 15.4% to $370.8 million on July 12, marking the second consecutive day of TVL decline as broader crypto market sentiment weakens.

Polymarket prediction markets saw a surge in new bets on which company will be the world's largest by market cap at year-end 2026, with over $4 million wagered across markets for NVIDIA, Microsoft, Amazon, Saudi Aramco, Tesla, Alphabet, Apple, and SpaceX. The activity suggests traders see significant uncertainty in tech and energy sector valuations heading into the final half of 2026.

Polymarket bettors have wagered $582.6K on the question of whether Bitcoin$62,936.00 will reach $100,000 before the end of July 2026. With roughly three weeks remaining in the month and Bitcoin$62,936.00 currently near $74K, the market reflects speculative optimism among prediction market participants, though the target would require approximately 35% appreciation.

Polymarket bettors have wagered $4.3 million on whether Satoshi Nakamoto will move any Bitcoin$62,936.00 during 2026, reflecting ongoing speculation about the pseudonymous creator's dormant holdings worth approximately $64 billion. The market shows active participation but no recent news catalysts.

Prediction market bettors have poured $4.3M into a Polymarket asking whether Bitcoin$62,936.00's pseudonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto will move any coins in 2026. The high volume reflects ongoing fascination with whether the creator of the world's largest cryptocurrency will ever transact from known addresses.

Polymarket has active prediction markets on Strait of Hormuz shipping volumes, with bettors wagering on whether 40 or 60 ships will transit in a single day. Combined volume exceeds $2.6M, reflecting market interest in Middle East shipping dynamics.

Polymarket has launched new prediction markets around Israel-Hamas ceasefire scenarios, with bettors wagering $2.5M on whether a ceasefire will be cancelled by October 31 and $708.5K on a December 31 deadline. The markets reflect ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

Polymarket's FIFA World Cup prediction markets saw heavy trading and resolutions on July 4 following the Paraguay vs. France match. The Canada World Cup winner market resolved 'No' with $102.9M in volume, while France-related markets showed strong betting momentum ahead of and during the match.

Polymarket prediction markets covering the 2026 Peruvian presidential election have resolved, with combined betting volume exceeding $5.8 million across three candidate markets. All three major candidates covered (López Chau, Pérez Tello, Espá) resolved as losers, indicating a surprise winner emerged in what sources describe as a 'razor-thin' race.

Polymarket users have created multiple betting markets around today's Spain vs. Austria soccer match, generating approximately $3.3 million in combined trading volume across 10 different outcome variations. The activity reflects growing use of prediction markets for sports events beyond traditional crypto outcomes.

A Polymarket prediction market on whether Stefanos Tsitsipas would win the 2026 Men's Wimbledon championship resolved to No, with $237,300 in total volume.

Polymarket prediction markets on the 2026 MLB American League Championship Series have generated $1.5+ million in combined betting volume, with markets on Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians outcomes.

Polymarket esports prediction markets for League of Legends LPL playoffs generated $3.5 million in combined betting volume, with markets on the Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming series and individual game outcomes.

A Polymarket prediction market on whether the Israel-Hamas ceasefire will be cancelled by October 31 has attracted $2.5 million in betting volume, reflecting market interest in the geopolitical outcome.

Polymarket prediction markets saw massive activity around July 1 World Cup matches, with Belgium vs. Senegal generating $37.8M in volume as Belgium advanced and USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina attracting $2.4M+ in bets. The markets resolved based on match outcomes.

Polymarket traders are actively betting on Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing by July 15, with $5.3 million in volume on the prediction market. The high betting activity reflects ongoing trader interest in global supply-chain risks and their potential impact on energy prices and broader markets.