Polymarket bettors have wagered over $5.8 million across prediction markets asking which company will have the best AI model by end of June 2026. xAI and Anthropic lead early betting, with Google, DeepSeek, and OpenAI also attracting significant capital.

OpenAI
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briefs
May 18, 2026
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Polymarket AI Model Race Heats Up: $5.8M Wagered on June Winner
May 18 00:00
May 3, 2026
55
Polymarket AI Showdown: $4.3M Bet on Best Model by June
Polymarket bettors are placing over $4.3M in combined wagers on which company will have the best AI model by end of June 2026. xAI leads market interest with $995.6K in volume, followed by Anthropic ($773.5K) and DeepSeek ($470K). The 15 separate markets span major AI firms including Google, OpenAI, Alibaba, and others, signaling strong prediction market appetite for AI capability rankings in the near term.
May 3 20:30
Apr 30, 2026
42
Anthropic Wins April AI Race on Polymarket
Polymarket bettors have resolved their April 2026 'best AI model' market, with Anthropic winning the competition. The winning Anthropic market generated $2.1M in volume, while OpenAI's market resolved 'No' with $4.1M traded. Twelve major AI companies competed in the prediction market series, with combined trading volume exceeding $19.8M, signaling strong community interest in tracking AI leadership.
Apr 30 22:00
Apr 9, 2026
62
OpenAI Acquisition Odds Jump to 27% on Polymarket
Polymarket bettors have sharply increased their estimate of OpenAI being acquired before 2027, with the probability jumping 18 points to 27% and trading volume reaching $581.8K. The shift suggests growing market speculation around potential acquisition scenarios, though no official announcements have been made.
Apr 9 14:30
Apr 7, 2026
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Polymarket AI Model Markets Draw $3.9M in Betting as Tech Race Heats Up
Polymarket bettors have opened $3.9M in trading volume across 12 prediction markets betting on which company will have the best AI model by end of April 2026. DeepSeek leads with $1.8M in volume, followed by OpenAI ($704K) and Anthropic ($231K), suggesting traders view the AI race as highly competitive and uncertain over the next three weeks.
Apr 7 06:57
Mar 31, 2026
52
Polymarket AI Model Markets Resolve: No Clear Winner
Polymarket's AI model prediction markets resolved today with all major contenders—xAI, Moonshot, OpenAI, Alibaba, and Mistral—marked as 'No,' suggesting bettors saw no clear winner for best AI model by end of March. The markets drew over $6.3M in combined volume, reflecting significant investor interest in AI leadership.
Mar 31 20:30