U.S. Dollar Resurgence Triggers Gold & Oil Price Dip

Jonathan Stoker Jan 24, 2024, 10:50am 184 views

U.S. Dollar Resurgence Triggers Gold & Oil Price Dip

Continued Strength of the U.S. Dollar Impacts Commodity Market

The U.S. dollar demonstrated significant strength this week, climbing from a low of 102 to a peak of 103.8 on Wednesday. This intensified dollar strength has been influencing prices of gold, crude oil, and Brent crude oil for the past week.

Brent Crude Oil

Brent crude saw a decrease of 14 cents, reaching $79.41 per barrel on Wednesday. Crude oil, on the other hand, saw a decrease by 11 Cents, hitting a low of $74.26 a barrel.

Gold Prices

Furthermore, gold dipped below the $2,030 mark and has been battling to surpass the $2,050 level for a week.

Effects of the U.S. Dollar Dominance on Global Markets

The U.S. dollar dominance this month has led the commodity market into a downturn. There is currently a high demand for the U.S. dollar relative to other leading global currencies in the foreign exchange market. Now, the U.S. dollar hovers around a six-week high against other leading currencies such as the Euro, Pound, and Yen.

Geopolitical Tensions and Their Potential Impact on Oil and Gold Prices

In the wake of tensions in the Red Sea, the oil and gold markets faced uncertainty this month. These geopolitical tensions pose risks to the oil supply, leading to unpredictable fluctuations in the markets. This development is also reflected in the XAU/USD charts, leading to gold sliding south for over a week.

Global Energy Strategist on the Current Situation

Vikas Dwivedi, a global energy strategist at Macquarie, stated to the Economic Times, If current geopolitical tensions weren't a factor, we believe crude would significantly decline. With time, we expect supply risk premiums to disconnect from conflict risk, similar to the Russia-Ukraine situation. Unless there is an escalation in the Middle East, we expect crude prices to remain within the current range for 1Q24. We do not foresee a supply loss.

Projection for the U.S. Dollar

The U.S. dollar rebounded from its low of 101 earlier this month to reach 103.8 points during the fourth week. If this momentum continues, the U.S. dollar could exceed the 106 mark in the upcoming months.

Edited by Jonathan Stoker

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