JP Morgan Predicts China’s Yuan Might Topple US Dollar: BRICS Analysis

Jonathan Stoker Jan 07, 2024, 17:50pm 147 views

JP Morgan Predicts China’s Yuan Might Topple US Dollar: BRICS Analysis

China's Yuan: A Potential Alternative to US Dollar, Suggests JP Morgan

As the BRICS alliance steadily integrates de-dollarization into its expanding initiatives, JP Morgan has indicated that China's Yuan could potentially displace the US Dollar. The financial services firm has highlighted the yuan as a currency that might someday provide a viable alternative to the greenback. This view is bolstered by the increasing prominence of the yuan throughout the current year.

BRICS Initiative for Local Currency Promotion

In a move to lessen the dollar's dominance in the Global South, the BRICS alliance has chosen to endorse local currencies. This has resulted in the yuan's popularity, as confirmed by its extensive use in the bloc's bilateral settlements.

De-dollarization Plans of BRICS in 2023

A significant narrative during 2023 has been the de-dollarization strategies of the BRICS countries. The bloc has openly expressed its aim to decrease the dollar's dominance and introduced numerous initiatives to limit its role in bilateral trade. This could be leading to the gradual decline of the greenback, as many experts suggest.

JP Morgan's Prediction: Yuan as an Alternative to US Dollar

In the midst of these BRICS strategies, JP Morgan has opined that China's Yuan could eventually replace the dominant status of the US Dollar. The firm specifically identifies the yuan as a potential alternative, if the dollar continues its significant decline in the international monetary system.

An Inside Look: The Yuan's Role in Dollar's Decline

Alexander Wise, strategic researcher at JP Morgan, has pondered over the yuan's potential contribution to the Dollar's downfall. Considering the central role of China's growth in global commerce, the renminbi might naturally be expected to play a greater role in the global economy over time, Wise elaborated.

He further added, Facilitating capital controls, opening markets, taking steps to enhance market liquidity, strengthening the rule of law, mitigating appropriation and regulatory risks, and positioning Chinese government bonds as a safe alternative asset - these could all establish China and the renminbi as a credible alternative to the US and the dollar.

Emergence of the Yuan: Decreasing the Importance of US Dollar

These factors are combined with the bloc's existing efforts to reduce the importance of the US dollar. Data indicates that a quarter of Russia's trade with countries other than China was settled in the yuan. Furthermore, a significant $7 billion currency swap was agreed upon between China and Saudi Arabia. These factors could accelerate its ascendancy. Concurrently, it could offer more opportunities for the greenback to stumble as a global reserve currency.

Edited by Jonathan Stoker

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