Fidelity's Timmer Foresees Bitcoin Consolidation Amid ETF Aftermath

Jonathan Stoker Jan 17, 2024, 11:20am 113 views

Fidelity's Timmer Foresees Bitcoin Consolidation Amid ETF Aftermath

Bitcoin Experiences a Dip Following BTC ETF Approval

Over the past week, BitcoinBitcoin$42,260 -0.64% (BTC) has experienced a nearly 7% decrease. It's believed to be due to the ripple effects caused by the recent green light for the BTC ETF. Numerous predictions were made in opposition to the price of Bitcoin following ETF approval, many of which have been verified. Jurrien Timmer from Fidelity is of the belief that while a sell-off is in progress, its duration will be limited.

Short-Term Positioning Adjustment Amidst Uncertainty

Jurrien Timmer, the Director of Global Macro at Fidelity, asserts that the current price trend of Bitcoin indicates a short-term positioning adjustment rather than a long-term trend reversal. Some speculations suggest that Bitcoin could potentially drop and find support anywhere from the $32K to $38K range. However, Timmer expects a consolidation of recent gains.

The Market's Response: Sell-the-News Moment Vs. Consolidation

Timmer's perspective suggests that the market is in a sell-the-news phase. He believes that it will require some time to consolidate the recent gains after the significant moment of BTC ETF approval has passed. He also noted that there were a considerable number of market participants who had solidified their future spot positions either through the futures market or bitcoin-sensitive equities.

Bitcoin's Current Value: Reasonable and Reflective of Network Growth

According to Timmer, Bitcoin's current price is fair, influenced by its network's expansion pace, actual interest rates in the economy, and its bright long-term prospects. He raised the question of whether this signals a new phase towards Bitcoin's widespread adoption as a commodity-currency, suggesting that that seems likely, although it may require some time for realization.

Continued Interest from Asset Managers

Despite the rally stalling, Timmer reported that numerous asset managers continue to maintain a significant net long position in the Bitcoin futures market.

Bitcoin's Golden Cross Event

Recent reports indicate that, for the first time, Bitcoin's 50-week simple moving average has surpassed its 200-week average. This occurrence, known as a golden cross, is typically indicative of a long-term bullish market, although traders often dispute its predictive accuracy.

Edited by Jonathan Stoker

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